“A small unexplained residual proves the valuation model is correct.”
Not quite.A small residual is useful control evidence but can coexist with shared data or model errors.
Risk
P&L explain decomposes daily profit and loss into risk-factor moves, new trades, and residuals.
P&L explain decomposes the day’s result into understandable market, trade, and residual effects.
P&L explain compares today’s P&L to what would be expected from yesterday’s Greeks and observed market moves.
A clean decomposition separates market-driven P&L, carry and time decay, trade changes, and unexplained residuals.
How much of today's P&L is explained by measured risk-factor moves, and what remains unexplained?
This waterfall decomposes one day of P&L into market move, carry, new trades, and residual. Use the controls to change total P&L and the size of systematic components and see how large the unexplained bucket becomes.
P&L explain asks a very concrete question: given yesterday’s Greeks and today’s market moves, plus known trade changes, what P&L should we have seen?The difference between this expected P&L and the realised figure is the residual.
A small, noisy residual is healthy and reflects model miss and higher-order effects. A large, persistent residual hints at deeper issues: stale data, booking problems, wrong risk factors, or structural model deficiencies. Effective control frameworks monitor that residual line as closely as the headline P&L.
The analytics framework must provide consistent risk factors and valuations for P&L explain to be meaningful.
Large unexplained P&L signals model, data, or booking issues and is a key control for trading and risk.
“A small unexplained residual proves the valuation model is correct.”
Not quite.A small residual is useful control evidence but can coexist with shared data or model errors.
Follow the strongest prerequisites, applications, extensions, and contrasts.
P&L explain begins from changes in marked values between valuation points.
Supported byGreeks and Risk FactorsRisk-factor sensitivities provide the first-order building blocks for explaining daily valuation changes.
Supported byData Lineage and Audit TrailLineage helps determine whether an unexplained P&L move came from market data, transformations, model versions or other upstream changes.
Supported byMarket and Model VersioningVersion changes must be distinguishable from market moves when explaining P&L.
Supported byReplay of Valuation RunsReplaying prior and current valuation states helps distinguish market moves, model changes and data corrections in P&L explain.
P&L explain begins from changes in marked values between valuation points.
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